Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-5) vs. South Alabama Jaguars (10-2)
Game Info: Wednesday, December 21, 2022 at 9 p.m. EST (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)
Betting Odds: South Alabama (-4) / Over/Under (57)
Pick: South Alabama (-4)
Today we are focusing our attention on the only college football game of the day where the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers face off with the South Alabama Jaguars in a clash in the famous Mercedes-Benz Superdome at 9 p.m. ET.
Western Kentucky comes into the game off of a solid 8-5 season, recently coming out on top in a thriller in their last regular season game against FAU where they were able to squeak out a 1 point win versus the Owls. Winning three of their last four (although they haven't covered since 11/12), they will come into this game with hopes of capturing a bowl win in the R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl, especially since news has just come out that their leading tackler, LB JaQues Evans has withdrawn from the transfer portal and is scheduled to play in this game. The Hilltoppers will rely on their air-ride offense to carry them in this matchup.
South Alabama scorches into this game on a five game win streak (3-1-1 ATS during this span), finishing off their stellar 10-2 season. They bring a complete team to this matchup, with their offense putting up 31.9 PPG during the regular season, and their defense only letting up a mere 19.4 PPG. They rely on a well-balanced attack on offense with Carter Bradley (QB) putting up close to 3,000 passing yards this season, and their star running back La'Damian Webb scoring 13 TD's on the season and rushing for over 1,000 yards (5.1 yards per carry).
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A few betting trends to consider in this matchup:
- The over has cashed in 5 of the last 7 previous bowl contests for WKU
- The over has cashed in 7 of the last 9 neutral-site games for WKU
- South Alabama has covered or pushed in 4 of their last 5 games to close the season
Overall, this line opened at around -2.5 in favor of the Jaguars, but quickly jumped to around -4 as news came out about important players on the Western Kentucky team potentially sitting this one out. I expect this one to be a high scoring game with the Jags being able to pull it out at the end with a big defensive stand as they come in with the much better defense (letting up almost 70 yards less on the ground than the Hilltoppers). Because of this, I will lay the 4 point spread as I expect the Jags to end their amazing season out on top. Also, I will be playing the over 57 as I expect these two high fire power offenses to hit this number with ease.
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