VCU @ Dayton 3/8/24 Free Pick, NCAAB Odds, NCAAB Predictions


VCU (19-11) at Dayton (23-6)

Game Info: Friday, March 8th, 2024 at  7 p.m. EST (UD Arena)

Betting Odds: Dayton -7.5 (-115) - Over/Under (138.5)

Pick: Dayton -7.5 (-115)

Two mid-major programs will hit the floor here on Friday night in Ohio and both of them are having vastly different seasons coming into the final weekend of the regular season. VCU has been sitting on the bubble all season long while Dayton looks like a near lock for the NCAA tournament as both teams get ready to head into the Atlantic 10 conference tournament at the end of the week. This should be thrilling game between two of the more famous majors in the sport of college basketball as they look to finish the regular season with a bang and pick up a much-needed victory for both sides here on Friday night in Dayton, Ohio.

For years, Virginia Commonwealth was one of the most feared mid majors in college basketball. However, they’ve been having some down years as of late. They come into this game sitting on the bubble in need of their 20th victory of the season. Grabbing a victory in this game over nationally ranked Dayton would improve their standing on the bubble as they get ready to head into the Atlantic 10 conference tournament next week.  This feels like a must win game for VCU here on Friday night on the road and they will have to pull out all the stops if they want to be successful against one of the best offenses in the sport. VCU comes into this game with 19 victories through their first 30 games of the regular season. 

They have put up respectable numbers in conference play winning 11 out of 17 up until this point but they will want that much needed 12th victory here against Dayton as they look to secure themselves a solid finish in the regular season standings. As a top four finish would secure them a double bye in the opening two rounds of the Atlantic 10 conference tournament and only require them to win three games to lift the title. Which makes this game against Dayton on Friday night all the more important as VCU currently find themselves in fourth place heading into the final weekend of the regular season.

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Dayton has been incredible this season and they are closing in on a regular season where they finished top 3 in the conference as well yet another bid to the NCAA tournament. Regardless of what happens in the Atlantic 10 conference tournament, you can argue that Dayton has done enough to earn their place in the big dance with their performance this season. They come into this game nationally ranked in the top 25 and as winners of 23 out of 29 on the season. They will look for their 24th victory of the season in their final regular season game of the year on Friday night at home against Virginia Commonwealth. 

They have already locked up the coveted double bye in the Atlantic 10 conference tournament. The Flyers also have the best chance of raising the title at the end of the tournament as well. They have gotten the job done with their highflying offense this season, and they will look to keep the momentum rolling throughout this game on Friday night at home against VCU at the UD Arena. Despite a few slip ups, as of late Dayton comes into this game on a one game winning streak, and they will look to cap off the regular season with another victory here in this one.

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- Dayton is 14-0 at home 

- VCU is 1-3 as a road underdog 

- Dayton is 16-6 after a win 

I look for this to be a close and competitive game throughout most of the contest here on Friday night in Dayton. In the end I look for the Dayton Flyers to cover the spread against the Virginia Commonwealth Rams here on Friday night in the final regular season game of the year. As I look for Dayton to have no issue covering the 7 and a half point spread by pulling away in this contest. I expect them to get the job done with their high-flying offense to secure the victory and head into the Atlantic 10 conference tournament on a high note.

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