San Diego State Aztecs vs. UConn Huskies 4/3 Free Pick, NCAAB Odds, NCAAB Predictions

San Diego State Aztecs (32-6) vs. UConn Huskies (30-8)

Game Info: Monday, April 3, 2022 at 9:20 p.m. EST (NRG Stadium)

Betting Odds: UConn (-7.5) / Over/Under (132.5)

Pick: San Diego State (+7.5)

In what is one of the most unpredictable finals in NCAAB history, the last game of the season will be played between the San Diego State Aztecs and UConn Huskies in NRG Stadium. 

San Diego State was able to do something last game that not many thought they could do when they erased a 10+ point deficit in the second half to Florida Atlantic to punch their ticket to the Final. Over their last 9 games, they are 9-0 SU (7-2 ATS), playing as good as any team in the country over that stretch. We always knew that the Aztecs could defend the ball for 40 minutes long, but there was always an uncertain feeling that if they got down big early that it would be tough for them to claw their way back into the game. This was squashed big time against the Owls and will give them all of the confidence in the world to go on and take this game from the Huskies on Monday night. Leading scorer, Matt Bradley had his best game of the season factoring in the magnitude of the game itself. Putting in 21 points in the Final Four clash, he will look to replicate that against UConn. Can the Aztecs continue on their stellar run and shock the world by cutting down the nets in Houston?

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UConn is on one of the most impressive March Madness runs in its history, beating every team since the start of the tournament by 10+ points. This includes massive wins over Miami, Gonzaga, Arkansas, and Saint Mary's... all teams that had the capability to go all the way. At the moment, it is extremely hard to find any weakness in their game. On the offensive side, they are zinging the ball around with ease, and on the defensive side of things, they are getting the important stops needed to prevent opposing teams from going on extended runs. At times, star players crumble under the spotlight of March, usually leading to the demise of their team in the tournament. In saying this, superstar big man, Adama Sanogo has passed every test in a seemingly mastered fashion. It has not mattered who has been guarding him, in every single game he has shown up immensely. Heading  the Final, we shall see if the Huskies can continue to dump it into Sanogo with maximum success.  

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- San Diego State is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games

- The Aztecs are 15-1 SU in their last 16 games

- The under is 7-2 in the last 9 games that UConn has been apart of

For sure, UConn looks unstoppable right now, but I believe we are overlooking the Aztecs here. 7.5 points is a wide margin to cover in such a highly anticipated game, and I expect it to be way too many points on Monday night. The Aztecs possess one of the best defenses in the country and it will show one last time in their final game of the year. Give me San Diego State to suffocate the Huskies and force them into uncomfortable situations all game long!

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