Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans 4/4/23 Free Pick, NBA Odds, NBA Predictions

Sacramento Kings (47-31) at New Orleans Pelicans (40-38)

Game Info: Tuesday, April 4, 2023 at 8:00 p.m. EST (Smoothie King Center)

Betting Odds: Pelicans (-3) / Over/Under (237.5)

Pick: Pelicans (-3)

With only a few games left in the regular season, it is all about seeding and matchups at this point for the most part. Tonight, we will head out to New Orleans to dive into a clash between the Sacramento Kings and the Pelicans.

Sacramento suffered one of its worst losses of the season last time out, losing 142-134 at home to the abysmal San Antonio Spurs as a 16.5-point favorite. Due to a drop in form over the last 10 games, where they have gone 6-4 SU (5-5 ATS), they have now fallen to the 3rd spot in the West, currently matching up with the Golden State Warriors if the Playoffs kicked off today. De'Aaron Fox was vocal as ever in the postgame interview after the disappointing loss to San Antonio, admitting that if they want to go where they have their eyes set on in the Postseason, they will need to put in a better effort on the defensive side of the ball. This has always been the question about Sacramento... they can score with anyone in the league, but down the stretch, can they get enough stops to secure key wins? The horrid defensive outings they produced against the Spurs beg the idea that they aren't ready to contend with the big dogs in the league, but shortly we will certainly find out.

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New Orleans comes into Tuesday night with a 40-38 record. Sitting firmly in the 8th spot in the West at the moment, they would face off with the Minnesota Timberwolves if the regular season came to a close today. Although they have faced several up and downs throughout the campaign, they have been on a hot streak over their last 8 games, going 7-1 SU and ATS. With a high-flying offense like the Kings coming into their home court, we shall see if they can continue their impressive run of form. Last time out, they used a crucial 31-point 4th quarter to take down the Los Angeles Clippers. In that game, Brandon Ingram was the show's star, putting up 36 points and adding in 8 assists and 4 rebounds. Although they may not be the deepest squad in the league, they have two stars in Ingram and CJ McCollum that can take over any game at any point. As we saw last year in the Playoffs with the Pelicans, this is vital in crunch time when there is a ton of iso ball being played. 

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- The Pelicans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games 

- Sacramento is 3-5 ATS in their last 8 games

- New Orleans is 22-16 ATS when playing as the home squad

The Pelicans have had a few of their finest wins of the year over the past few weeks, beating the Clippers and Nuggets on the road being two of their best. I am higher than most are on the Kings heading into the Playoffs, as many think their inexperience will show against veteran rosters that have been there before. Nevertheless, in this game, I expect the Pelicans to show up on their home floor and bring us a win by at least a few buckets. They have been home since the 1st, giving them quite a bit of time to prepare for this offense, and I see it showing here.

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