Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks 7/9/23 Free Pick, MLB Odds, MLB Predictions

Pittsburgh Pirates (40-49) at Arizona Diamondbacks (52-38)

Game Info: Saturday, July 9th, 2023 at 4:10 p.m. EST (Chase Field)

Betting Odds: Diamondbacks (-155) - Over/Under (9)

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+130)

Sunday is the last stop before the 2023 Major League Baseball All-Star break and it takes us to the Chase Field for the finale of this three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Arizona Diamondbacks. Where Arizona will be looking to complete the three game sweep of Pittsburgh after their victory in extra innings on Saturday.

The Pittsburgh Pirates had a huge opportunity to even up this three-game series on Saturday afternoon, with their best pitcher getting the start for them. Despite an impressive performance from Mitch Keller, the Pittsburgh Pirates will go on to lose the game in extra innings. Now they find themselves in a 2 to 0 deficit against the Arizona Diamondbacks coming into Sunday's finale. It hasn’t been the best first half of the season for the Pittsburgh Pirates after they started as the best team in the National League throughout the month of April and into May. At one point this season they had 22 victories in their first 30 games of the season but they have since come back crashing down to reality heading into the All-Star break.

After their fantastic start to the season that saw them sitting at 22-8, with the best record in the National League It has been a huge fall from grace for the Pittsburgh Pirates over the last month and a half. In their previous 59 games since they hit the 22 win mark they have only managed to win 16 games while losing 41. They have plummeted towards the bottom of the National League Central division standings, which is hard to do considering it has been the second worst division in baseball, only behind their American League counterparts. Pittsburgh is three and seven in their last 10 games of the season and they are currently on a four game losing streak as well. Carmen Mlodzinski will be making his tenth appearance of the season in this one. He is 1-1 on the year and all of his appearances have come in relief, so this game will be the first start of his Major League Baseball career. 

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You can argue that the Arizona Diamondbacks have been the biggest surprise during this 2023 baseball season. They are heading into the 2023 All-Star break leading the National League West division over the Los Angeles Dodgers, who were considered the odds-on favorite to take the division. Also, on their roster is the likely National League rookie of the year runner up, Corbin Carroll. If not for the meteoric rise of Elly De La Cruz in Cincinnati, Carroll would likely be the favorite to win the award. Arizona will be looking to cap off the three game sweep of Pittsburgh in this one after their come from behind victory in extra innings on Saturday evening.

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game with 52 victories, through their first 90 games of the season. They have picked up four victories in their last 10 games of the season, but they come into this game on a two game winning streak after their first two victories against the Pittsburgh Pirates over the weekend. They currently hold a half a game lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League West division and with another victory here on Sunday they would hold that lead going into the All-Star break. They also have the added benefit of Los Angeles being off on Sunday, which will give Arizona the opportunity to gain half of a game over the Dodgers heading into the break as well. Carmen Mlodzinski will be making his eleventh appearance of the season in this one and he is 1-4 on the year with an ERA of 6.52. 

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- Pittsburgh is 20-28 after a loss this season

- Pittsburgh is 23-23 against the runline on the road 

- Arizona is 47-31 without rest and Pittsburgh is 32-42

With the way that the Pittsburgh Pirates have been playing recently I expect Arizona to grab a third consecutive victory in this series. I still look for Arizona to grab the victory. Even though their worst starting pitcher is taking them out for them in this one as Davies has been hit around the park all season long. I also expect Arizona to cover the run line in this game against Pittsburgh.

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