Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks 10/20/23 Free Pick, MLB Odds, MLB Predictions

Philadelphia Phillies (2-1) at Arizona Diamondbacks (1-2)

Game Info: Friday, October 20th, 2023 at  8:03 p.m. EST (Chase Field)

Betting Odds: Diamondbacks ML (+105) - Over/Under (9.5)

Pick: Diamondbacks ML (+105)

Game four of the National League championship series will take place on Friday night from Chase Field in Arizona. Throughout the first three games of the series the team playing at home is undefeated as Philadelphia picked up a pair of victories at Citizens Bank Park, and in game three on Thursday night Arizona responded with a walk off win at Chase Field to grab their first victory of the series. Now both teams will be looking for a crucial victory before they head into the final three games of this series later on in the week as both of them compete for a spot in the World Series, and both of them look to win their first title in over a decade. 

The Philadelphia Phillies will be looking to bounce back after their loss in the third game of the series on Thursday night as they look to take a commanding lead into game five later on this weekend. They looked absolutely flawless throughout the first two games of this series at home, and they will be looking to find that type of performance once again here in the fourth game of the series. As they look to put themselves on the doorstep of winning their second consecutive National League pennant and earning themselves another shot at winning a World Series title. 

Philadelphia will have to get the bats going once again after a less than impressive performance at the plate in the third game of this series on Thursday night. They certainly had no issue hitting the ball all over the park throughout the first two games so we all know that they are very much capable of it throughout the remainder of this series and in this game on Friday night. Christopher Sanchez will get the start of this game and what likely will become a bullpen game for Philadelphia as they will manage the game depending on how it plays out throughout nine innings on Friday night. 

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The Arizona Diamondbacks will be looking to grab their second consecutive victory of this series here on Friday night as they look to even up the series before heading into their final home game in game five later on in the weekend. Arizona showed plenty of resiliency as they faced a must win situation in game four three of the series on Friday night as they walked it off in the bottom of the ninth inning to grab their first victory. 

Now if they can find a way to make a comeback and tie this series up, it would shed whole new light on the final three games of the series and would likely give Arizona the advantage heading into the final two games if they can win all three games at home. It plays out like it is projected to where the home team wins. Every time they are at home, Arizona would take a three games to two lead back to Philadelphia for game number six and seven only needing to grab one victory to advance for their first World Series since 2001.

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- Arizona is 51-38 after a win this year 

- Arizona is 45-38 at home this season

- Arizona is 6-2 in the postseason

I expect the Arizona Diamondbacks to put on another solid performance here in the fourth game of this series on Friday night and pick up the victory over the Philadelphia Phillies to even up the series before heading into game five later on in the week. As I look for the Diamondbacks to pull out another solid performance at home and grab a crucial victory with their bats, as I look for them to outscore Philadelphia in this game to get a much needed win. 

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