Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks 5/18/24 Free Pick, NBA Odds, NBA Predictions

Oklahoma City Thunder (2-3) at Dallas Mavericks (3-2)

Game Info: Saturday, May 18th, 2024 at  9:40 p.m. EST (Spokane Memorial Arena)

Betting Odds: Mavericks -3.5 (-110) - Over/Under (209.5)

Pick: Mavericks -3.5 (-110)

It is already time for game number six of the second round Western Conference playoff series here on Saturday night in Dallas. The Dallas Mavericks hold a 3 to 2 advantage coming into game number six and they will look to shut the door on the number one seat in the conference with a quality performance here in this one. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City will look to battle back and force a winner take all game seven later this week at home. As they look to advance to the Western Conference finals for the first time since the Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook era. Meanwhile, Dallas will look to get back to the NBA Finals for the first time since 2011, and a win here on Saturday night would put them one round closer to accomplishing their goal. 

Oklahoma City comes into this game, trailing this series and on the brink of elimination so this is a must win game for the Thunder if they want to keep their postseason hopes alive. They will need to rely heavily on Shai Gilgeous Alexander to carry them throughout this game against Luka Dončić, and Dallas Mavericks here on Saturday night. Oklahoma City has already shown they are capable of winning on the road as they took game four in Dallas, but unfortunately, they were unable to defend home court for the second time in game five. 

Now they will need to steal another victory on the road here on Saturday night to keep their season alive and force game seven back in Oklahoma City later this week. Oklahoma City certainly has the roster composition and the talent to get the job done in this game on Saturday against the Dallas Mavericks but they will need to find a way to stop Luka Dončić and Kyrie Irving if they want to be successful. Alexander will be the X Factor for Oklahoma City in this game on Saturday night and he will need at least a 30 point performance if not more to lead them to a victory over Dallas.

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The Dallas Mavericks are in a great position coming into this game at home on Saturday night, as they look to close out this series against Oklahoma City. They are currently leading Oklahoma City three games to two coming into this one after incredible performances both on the road and at home throughout the first five games of the series. Now Luka Dončić and Kyrie Irving will take game six in Dallas and put an end to this series to avoid heading back to Oklahoma City for a potential game seven. 

Luka Dončić is currently listed as a gametime decision which could impact the performance of Dallas throughout this game if he does not play. It would put them at a significant disadvantage, but even if he does go for this game, it could put them at a disadvantage if he is hampered and not fully healthy as it could impact his ability to score and play defense throughout the game. Doncic put up 31 in their game five victory on the road at Oklahoma City making 12 out of his 22 shots. It was eerily similar to Alexander’s stat line, where he scored 30 and 12 out of his 22 shots, but Dallas was able to come away with a 12 point victory in a very tough venue on the road. 

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- Dallas is 22-11 as a home favorite 

- Dallas is 33-23 after a win

- OKC is 8-9 as a road underdog

I look for another close and competitive match between Oklahoma City and Dallas here on Saturday night in Dallas. In the end, I look for the Dallas Mavericks to complete the second round upset of Oklahoma City and advance to the Western Conference finals against the winner of the series between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Denver Nuggets. As I look for Luka Dončić and Kyrie Irving to take over this one and lead the Dallas Mavericks and lead them to a much-needed victory at home. Not only do I look for Dallas to pick up victory here and this one on Saturday night, but I also look for them to cover spread as well.

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