New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians 5/20/24 Free Pick, MLB Odds, MLB Predictions

New York Mets (21-25) at Cleveland Guardians (30-17)

Game Info: Monday, May 20th, 2024 at  6:10 p.m. EST (Progressive Field)

Betting Odds: Guardians ML (-130) - Over/Under (8.5)

Pick: Guardians ML (-130) 

The New York Mets and the Cleveland Guardians will play the first of three games here on Monday night in downtown Cleveland. These two teams are trending in different directions at the moment and a win in this game will set the tone for the remaining two games of the series. You can always argue that these two teams are trending in the opposite direction of the standard set for them at the start of the season. As many people expected the New York Mets to be in the race for the National League East division title alongside the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves. Meanwhile, many people expected the Cleveland Guardians to be a rebuilding team and they currently sit in first place of the American League Central division. 

The New York Mets come into this game, looking to slow down a solid Cleveland Guardians team that took control of their weekend series against Minnesota. Tylor Megill will get the start for the New York Mets here on Monday night at Progressive Field and he will look to pick up his first victory of the season. he will also look to lower his ERA, which is well above four at the moment as he will need to shut down a Cleveland lineup that has been one of the best in baseball over the last week. It was a rather rough weekend for the New York Mets, losing a series to the Miami Marlins, and now they will look to bounce back in the opening game of this series against Cleveland on Monday night. 

The New York Mets had plenty of expectations coming into the 2024 Major League Baseball season, but it might be fair to say they have been rather underwhelming throughout the first two months of the year. They will look to rebound from a rough weekend series and give Cleveland a fight here on Monday night. The New York Mets come into this game with a record of 21-25 through their first 46 games of the year, and they will be searching for a much needed victory here at Progressive Field to get things going in the right direction. This almost feels like a must win game and a ton of pressure will certainly be on the shoulders of Fransisco Lindor throughout the week. 

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As previously mentioned, the opening game of this series will mark the return of Francisco Lindor to Cleveland for the first time since he exited the franchise for the bright lights of New York City a couple years ago. That will be the focal point of this series throughout the week and it will likely be the top headline, regardless of the outcome of these games throughout the week against New York as well. It’ll be interesting to see what type of reaction he gets as he returns to the team that he started his career with and he tries to improve upon his slow start to the 2024 Major League Baseball season against a Guardians rotation that has been dealing throughout the last couple of days. 

Ben Lively gets the ball in search of his third victory of the season here on Monday night at home against the New York Mets. He put up a dependable performance in his last appearance against the defending World Series champions as he went five innings and got the win over the Texas Rangers. He will look for a similar outing in this one against the New York Mets as he looks to improve upon his ERA and rack up more strikeouts. He has been a solid arm for the Cleveland Guardians throughout the early part of the regular season and that is something they will need throughout the rest of the year if they want to remain competitive. Cleveland will be in search of yet another victory as they return home and looked to improve on the third best record in baseball this season.

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- Cleveland is 15-6 at home 

- Cleveland is 17-10 against sub .500 teams 

- New York is 11-18 against teams above .500

I expect a solid performance from Cleveland in this game on Monday night at home as I look for them to maintain the momentum they gained over the weekend. As I look for Cleveland to grab yet another victory here on Monday night against the New York Mets to open up this series on a positive note. I expect the lineup to continue crushing baseball all over the yard and I look for Lively to put up respectable for a second straight performance against a struggling New York Mets team.

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