Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals 6/11/23 Free Pick, MLB Odds, MLB Predictions

Cincinnati Reds (30-35) at St. Louis Cardinals (27-38)

Game Info: Sunday, June 11, 2023 at 2:15 p.m. EST (Busch Stadium)

Betting Odds: Cardinals (-135) / Over/Under (8.5)

Pick: Reds ML (+115)

Sunday afternoon gives us a rubber match between the Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals, with both squads looking to scratch their way into the NL Central standings. 

Cincinnati has been on a roller coaster in their last ten games, going 4-6 in that span. Nonetheless, after suffering a loss in the first game of the series by a score of 7-4, they were able to bounce back accordingly by securing a dominating win on Saturday night. In yesterday's game, apart from going up 5-0 inside the first three innings, they were able to get a stellar pitching performance from 24 year-old rookie, Andrew Abbott. In his first two games pitched for the Reds in the big leagues, he has looked filthy, allowing zero earned runs up in his first 11.2 innings pitched. I am not sure we knew what we were getting from Abbott, but if this is a glimpse into what he can become, Cincinnati will be delighted to say the least. Looking at the standings right now, we can see that the Reds only sit four games back of the leading Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers, so we shall see if they can go on a stretch of good form to cut that lead down.  

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St. Louis has been one of the more disappointing teams in the major leagues in the first 65 games. Coming into this year, the majority of reporters who follow the league predicted that they would be contending for the division once again as they were returning a large part of their roster from last year's squad. Although there still is almost 100 games left, which leaves plenty of time for them to turn the ship around, an abysmal 27-38 record will warrant an extreme bounceback if they are to get their noses in the Playoff picture as the season progresses. On the bump for the Cardinals in Sunday's game will be the veteran right-hander Adam Wainwright. After a few resurgent seasons from 2020-2022, he has completely fell off of a cliff up until this point this year. Even though the sample size is small (31.2 innings), he comes in with a 5.97 ERA; one of the worst ERA's in the league. Can he right the ship against the Reds to give them a glimmer of hope as we head into the new week?

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- The over is 20-9 in Reds games after a win 

- The over is 30-21 when the Reds are an underdog 

- The over is 18-11-1 when the Cardinals are playing at home

Looking at the pitching matchup for today's game, we can see that there is a 18 year difference between the two arms. Having said that, they are two completely different pitchers style wise and will come with seperate gameplans to attack the opposing hitters. Nevertheless, I love the fact that we are getting plus-money on Hunter Greene, who has allowed only one earned run in his last twelve innings pitched. Give me the Reds in this one to take the series from the Cardinals on their home field!

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