New Mexico @ San Diego State 2/16/24 Free Pick, NCAAB Odds, NCAAB Predictions

New Mexico (20-5) at San Diego State (19-6)

Game Info: Friday, February 16th, 2024 at  10 p.m. EST (Viejas Arena)

Betting Odds: New Mexico +6.5 (-105) - Over/Under (152.5)

Pick: New Mexico +6.5 (-105)

Two of the top teams in the Mountain West conference will meet here on Friday night in San Diego. As the Lobos of New Mexico hit the road to take on the Aztecs of San Diego State. Both of these teams are enjoying winning seasons at the moment and both of them will look to strengthen their tournament resume with a solid performance here on Friday evening. This is a game that will have plenty of implications on their conference tournament posing and the regular season standings. This game can also have a massive impact on the bubble for the NCAA tournament, as both of these teams are in the middle of 20+ win seasons. 

New Mexico is in the middle of a fantastic campaign winning 20 out of their first 25 games on the season. However, some untimely losses has left them ranked outside of the top 25 and they will look to finish the season on a strong note and get back to nationally ranked status. New Mexico has an opportunity to add a huge résumé building victory with a quality performance here in this game on Friday night on the road against San Diego State. Winning this game would almost secure them a spot in the NCAA tournament as an at-large team and put them in a position to win the regular season championship in the Mountain West as well. 

New Mexico has one of the highest scoring offenses in the country this season averaging over 80 points per game. They will need to flex their muscles in this game against San Diego State if they want to be successful and put up a number on the scoreboard if they want to come away with a road victory as well. They are coming off of a road victory against Nevada and their previous game and they will look to replicate that performance throughout this game on Friday night. The last time these two teams met it was New Mexico that came away with an 18 point victory at home. They will look to grab their second victory of the season against San Diego State here on Friday.

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San Diego State has put together a fantastic season as they come into this game with 19 victories, through their first 25 games of the year. At one point in the year they were ranked nationally in the top 25 and a victory in this game could help get them back to the rankings heading into the final few weeks of the regular season. This would be a massive résumé building for San Diego State as they look to secure themselves a bid to the NCAA tournament this year. A win in this game would likely put them on the positive side of the bubble, heading into the final part of the regular season and put them in a position to get a higher seed in the Mountain West conference tournament. 

San Diego State’s defense has been incredible this season giving up less than 70 points per game and they will certainly need it in this game after giving up 88 to New Mexico the last time these two teams met. This feels like a must win game for San Diego State as they look to get their win back from earlier in the season, and improve their standing within the conference, and on the bubble of the NCAA tournament as well. They have plenty of momentum coming into this game as they have won three out of their last four games on the year and they will look for a second consecutive victory here on Friday night at home.

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- New Mexico is 17-7 against the spread 

- San Diego State is 10-13 against the sprea

-SDSU is 8-9 against the spread as a favorite 

I expect this to be a back-and-forth contest, and a much closer game than their last match up here on Friday night. Despite coming into this game is the underdog. I do expect New Mexico to cover the spread in this game against San Diego State. As I look for them to keep this one closed throughout the game and possibly even upset San Diego State here on Friday night at home.

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