Miami @ North Carolina 2/26/24 Free Pick, NCAAB Odds, NCAAB Predictions

Miami (15-13) at North Carolina (21-6)

Game Info: Monday, February 26th, 2024 at  7 p.m. EST (Dean Smith Center)

Betting Odds: North Carolina -13.5 (-120) - Over/Under (154.5)

Pick: North Carolina -13.5 (-120)

Monday night takes us to Chapel Hill for a huge Atlantic Coast Conference matchup between Miami and North Carolina. This is a game that could have plenty of implications not only on the conference standings, but the bubble watch for the NCAA tournament as well. Both of these teams come into this game with winning records, but they are having vastly different seasons at the moment, but both of them can certainly use a win here on Monday night. This will be the second meeting between these two teams in just over a couple of weeks and the last time they met it was North Carolina that came away with the victory in Miami. 

Miami has been pretty underwhelming by their standards and they come into this game just hovering above .500 here on Monday night. This game against North Carolina on the road will be their most important game of the season to date as a victory would give them an outside shot at making the NCAA tournament without getting the automatic qualifying bid from the ACC. It would be a huge résumé boost for Miami who has struggled throughout conference play this season after a fast start to the year. They will also look to get revenge for their loss to North Carolina a couple weeks ago at home, where they came up just short in a close and competitive match up against the Tar Heels.

Miami comes into this game with 15 victories to their first 28 games of the regular season, and they must have a strong finish of the year if they want to be in consideration on the bubble for the NCAA tournament. They come into this game with 11 losses in their 17 conference games which has been their setback throughout the season. As they have struggled to compete in one of the toughest conferences in college basketball this season, and it will likely be what cost them a spot in the NCAA tournament. 

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North Carolina has put together a tremendous season and they are closing in on a regular season ACC championship. A victory in this game on Monday night at home against Miami would put them one step closer to accomplishing that goal, as they are currently level with Duke at the top of the conference standings. They are also potentially competing for a number one seed in the NCAA tournament, and with a strong finish to the regular season they could also accomplish that as well. The Tar Heels come into this game with 21 victories through their first 27 games of the season and they have been incredible throughout conference play this year. 

They have firmly secured themselves a spot in the top four of the ACC standings, which will give them a huge advantage going into the conference tournament. They have won 13 out of 16 ACC games up until this point they will look to make it 14 out of 17 with another solid performance here at home on Monday night. North Carolina has already picked up one victory against Miami this season and they will look to complete the regular season sweep with another one here on Monday night at home.

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- North Carolina is 11-1 at home 

- Miami is 2-7 on the road 

- Miami is on a six game losing streak

I look for this to be a repeat of their first game earlier this season, and I expect a close and competitive contest throughout the early stages of this game here on Monday night in Chapel Hill. In the end, I look for North Carolina to pick up their second victory against Miami this season, as I look for the Tar Heels to outlast the Hurricanes here at home and cover the spread in the process. As I look for North Carolina to take over down the final stretch of the game and grab a double digit victory here on Monday. 

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