Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills 1/21/24 Free Pick, NFL Odds, NFL Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) at Buffalo Bills (11-6)

Game Info: Sunday, January 21st, 2024 at  6:30 p.m. EST (Highmark Stadium)

Betting Odds: Bills -3 (-120) - Over/Under (45.5)

Pick: Bills -3 (-120)

Two of the top teams in the AFC will meet on Sunday night in Buffalo with a trip to the AFC championship game on the line. As the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs meet once again in the postseason with an opportunity to get one step closer to winning the Super Bowl. The winner of this game will play the Baltimore Ravens next weekend in the AFC championship game with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line and both of these teams have aspirations of winning a title this season. Both of these teams have identical records after the regular season, and both of them have picked up a playoff victory as well. Now they will meet here on Sunday night in the cold windy conditions of Buffalo and what should be one of the best games of the weekend between the Chiefs and Bills. 

The Kansas City Chiefs didn’t show many signs of having a Super Bowl hangover, but they have struggled throughout the end of the regular season. They picked up a pretty convincing win in their playoff opener in the cold against the Miami Dolphins at home and now they will look to do it once again against another AFC East team here on Sunday. As they look to advance to get another AFC championship game as they keep their hopes alive for a second consecutive Super Bowl victory with a victory over the Buffalo Bills here on Sunday night on the road in Buffalo. 

Patrick Mahomes put up fantastic numbers throughout their victory against the Miami Dolphins and he will need to replicate those numbers throughout this game if Kansas City wants to be successful. If they can perform as well as they did last weekend, they should have an easy time picking up a victory over the Buffalo Bills here in this one, but they will have to deal with the snowy and cold conditions of playing on the road, despite having similar conditions last weekend against Miami. If they want to be successful in this game, they will need to find a way to get Travis Kelce involved early throughout the contest and get him going as he will be a massive difference maker throughout this game on Sunday.

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The Buffalo Bills finally have an opportunity to pick up a second playoff win and advance to the AFC championship game as they will host this game on Sunday night against Kansas City. They looked fantastic in their wildcard round victory, and they will look to keep the momentum rolling throughout this game on Sunday night as they look to pick up a second consecutive victory in the postseason, and finally vanish their demon which has been the Kansas City Chiefs for the last several seasons. Josh Allen looked solid and they’re opening around victory against the Pittsburgh Steelers and he will look to lead them to another playoff victory here and this one on Sunday in their second consecutive home game of the postseason as well. 

Buffalo will need to utilize their solid ground game if they want to control the tempo of this contest on Sunday night at home against Kansas City. They use their tight end well throughout their blowout victory against Pittsburgh and that is something they will need to replicate throughout this game as well as Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox will need to be big contributors in this contest of Buffalo wants to pick up the victory and advanced to the AFC championship game against the Baltimore Ravens. They will also need Josh Allen to hold onto the football and when he does, they are very successful and they’re easily one of the best teams in the NFL each and every week as long as he plays mistake free football when it matters the most.

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- Buffalo is 8-1 at home 

- Buffalo is 7-4 outside of their division 

- Buffalo is 7-4 after a win

I expect this to be a quality back-and-forth game between these two solid franchises, but in the end I do look for the Buffalo Bills to pick up the victory over the Kansas City Chiefs here on Sunday night at home. As I look for Josh Allen to play Patrick Mahomes throughout this game and finally get the Buffalo Bills past the Kansas City Chiefs and back to the AFC championship game where they will have an opportunity to make their first Super Bowl in several decades. I could easily see this game coming down to the last possession but in the end, I do look for the Buffalo Bills to come out on top and cover the spread in the process.

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