Detroit Lions (8-8) at Green Bay Packers (8-8)
Game Info: Sunday, January 8, 2023 at 8:20 p.m. EST (Lambeau Field)
Betting Odds: Packers (-4.5) / Over/Under (49)
Pick: Packers (-4.5)
In a week where there are several teams resting players and others completely out of the playoff picture, we will not have to deal with that in this NFC North encounter. On Sunday Night Football, we will see the Detroit Lions take on the Green Bay Packers in Lambeau Field in what might be a win-and-in scenario for both teams when the game kicks off.
Detroit comes flying into this crucial last game against the Packers after dismantling the Bears on their home field last weekend to keep them in contention for the last wildcard spot in the NFC. They have been a covering machine all year, where they are currently on a stretch going 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games played (4-1 SU in last 5 played). This unexpected run has been led by their explosive offensive, who is currently ranked fourth in the NFL in PPG (27.1) and third in YPG (383.6). Their quarterback, Jared Goff, is putting up a Pro Bowl caliber year, throwing for 29 touchdowns and 4,214 yards so far. Another bright spot in their offense is their two-headed backfield in D'Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams. Swift is a Swiss Army knife type back for them, while Williams brings a different dynamic on the ground as he leads the league in rushing touchdowns with 15. On the other side of the ball, it has been a struggle all season to keep teams off the board as they rank 30th in PPG let up and 32nd in YPG let up. If they want any chance to come out of Lambeau with a huge win, they will have to replicate what they did last week against the Bears where they only let up a mere 10 points on the road.
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The Packers are currently as hot as they come in the NFL as the season comes to a close. But, it will all be for nothing if they come up short against Detroit in this one. Currently on a four game win streak (4-0 ATS), they are clicking on all cylinders at the right time, as they continue to get healthy on the offensive and defensive side of the ball. Although the majority of the eyes will be on Aaron Rodgers (rightfully so) in this matchup, one to certainly watch is kick-returner Keisean Nixon. He has given this team a spark in the last few games that no one has been able to give to them for the last several years on their special teams unit. With a 105-yard kickoff return in last weeks game against the Vikings, he will look to continue to give Rodgers and Lafleur good field position to get up early on this lethal Detroit offense. Can Green Bay come all the way back from being 4-8 in early December to putting themselves in the Playoffs just 5 games later?
A few betting trends to consider in this matchup:
- Detroit is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games played
- Detroit games have hit the over in 4/7 games on the road this year
- Green Bay is 3-2 ATS in division games this year
- Green Bay is 4-0 ATS in their last four games played
We have been on the Packers train for two straight games, so why should we jump off now in their most crucial game of the year? Goff has had notoriously bad games in the cold, and against the Packers when he was on the Rams. I see this trend continuing. Green Bay is on a roll right now, and their defense that was supposed to be one of the best defenses in the league all year is finally starting to get their act together. Furthermore, AJ Dillon and Aaron Jones will successfully run the ball all over this porous Lions defense that has let up close to 150 YPG on the ground. Because of this, give me Rodgers and the Packers.
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