Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets Free Pick 3/20/23, NBA Odds, NBA Predictions

Golden State Warriors (36-36) at Houston Rockets (18-52)

Game Info: Monday, March 20, 2023 at 8:00 p.m. EST (Toyota Center)

Betting Odds: Warriors (-9.5) / Over/Under (237.5)

Pick: Rockets (+9.5)

Let's head into H-Town to focus our attention on a Western Conference battle between the Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets on Monday night. 

Golden State is... 7-29 away from home this season. It is truly one of the most unbelievable stats I have ever seen in recent memory for a squad that was Champions of the league the prior year. To deepen the burn, they are 0-11 SU and ATS in their last 11 games on the road. Yes, you read that right, the Golden State Warriors have not won or covered in a game away from the Chase Center since January 30. It does not matter who is on the court, where they are playing, or their opposing team, they can not find a winning formula unless they are on their home floor. In the prior 4 Championship runs that they have made in the past years, they always boasted a lethal offense that could score from anywhere on the floor, but their defense played a major role in stifling the opposition's best players as well in grueling 7-game series'. Recently though, they have been letting up 120+ points a game, certainly not a recipe for success. 

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Houston is a young and inexperienced team and it has shown all campaign long. Coming in with an 18-52 record, they are tied with the San Antonio Spurs for the worst record in the West. Despite this though, they have shown signs of life of late. Although they have been well out of the playoff conversation for a long time now, they have been able to put together a 3-game win streak inside of the Toyota Center over the past week. It has not been against bottom feeders as well, as they have taken down the Boston Celtics, Los Angeles Lakers, and New Orleans Pelicans in that stretch of games. Somewhere they have been able to improve astronomically is away from their basket. Having only let up a maximum of 112 points out of their last 3 games, they will look to continue improving their swarming defense in a clash with the former Champions. As Houston attempts to stop the Warriors from sweeping them in the season series, time will tell if their positive play can steamroll into this one.

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- Golden State is 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games away from home

- The Rockets are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 games

- The Warriors are 3-13 ATS as an away favorite 

If it ain't broke, don't fix it... right? Although I do not agree with that saying in every situation, I will surely ride with it here. Golden State has been atrocious away from home and the Rockets have been hot of late. There is no need to make this more complicated than it needs to be. Give me Houston to get it done on their home floor for the 4th game in a row!

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