San Diego State Aztecs (29-6) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (31-5)
Game Info: Friday, March 24, 2022 at 6:30 p.m. EST (KFC Yum! Center)
Betting Odds: Alabama (-7.5) / Over/Under (137)
Pick: San Diego State (+7.5)
Let's keep the good vibes of March Madness rolling when the San Diego State Aztecs meet the Alabama Crimson Tide in the Sweet 16 on Friday Night inside of the KFC Yum! Center.
San Diego State holds its head on the defensive side of the ball. Only averaging 54.5 PPG let up over the regular season, they are up there with the best in the country in defending their basket. But, in what will be their best opponent faced all campaign long so far, they will need to get a boost on offense from their veteran leaders if they want to shock the #1 seed in the tournament. Leading scorer, Senior guard Matt Bradley, will play a major role in the Aztecs' final chances come Friday night. Although many, including myself, thought he was going to take another leap this year and average close to 20 PPG, he was not able to do so. In saying that though, everything from the regular season can be thrown out the window when it comes to March, as one clutch game can send the Aztecs on their way to the Elite 8. We shall see if San Diego State can successfully pull the Tide into playing their game once they finally meet on the court.
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Alabama has dealt with controversy on and off the court all season long. This has not stopped them from rolling on the court though, coming into this clash with a 31-5 record (20-15-1 ATS). In their first 2 tournament games against Texas A&M-CC and Maryland, they were able to roll and win by a combined score of 43 points. Although the Aztecs will be a step up in class compared to their first 2 opponents, the Tide have been battle tested all year long in the vaunted SEC. They will be ready for whatever San Diego State has to throw at them. Although they are led by superstar Freshman, Brandon Miller, what is so scary about the Crimson Tide is that they have more than a handful of options that can fill it up on any given night. This is why they are a true nightmare for any team to face; as the opposing teams, Head Coach can not necessarily zero in on any specific player. Can they stay on a roll come tipoff to fire their way into the Elite 8?
Betting trends to consider in this matchup:
- San Diego State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
- The Aztecs are 12-1 SU over their last 13 games
- The over has hit in 9 of 15 games that the Crimson Tide have played in non-Conference matchups
This could be one I regret in a day or so, but I am going to stick with my gut here. The Aztecs are too well-drilled on the defensive end to pass up the huge spread here. March Madness always brings crazy upsets and close games down the stretch late in the tournament when it is least expected and I expect that to follow suit in this one. Give me San Diego State to stay close all night long, and maybe, just maybe pull off the shocking upset.
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