Duke (23-6) at North Carolina State (17-11)
Game Info: Monday, March 4th, 2024 at 7 p.m. EST (PNC Arena)
Betting Odds: Duke -5.5 (-120) - Over/Under (148.5)
Pick: Duke -5.5 (-120)
Monday night takes us to North Carolina where a huge Atlantic Coast Conference matchup will take place. The Duke Blue Devils will travel to Raleigh to play the North Carolina State Wolfpack in a game that could have plenty of implications on the NCAA tournament. As Duke is chasing a potential number one seed in the tournament in North Carolina State is sitting on the bubble coming into the final month of the regular season. Both of these teams have put together quality seasons, and they have been respectable in conference play, and both of them will look to keep the momentum rolling throughout this game on Monday night.
Duke was able to bounce back in a big way with a pair of blowout victories against Virginia and Louisville after they were upset by Wake Forest in one of their prior games. Now they will look to grab a second consecutive victory in a quick turnaround when they take on North Carolina State on the road here on Monday night. It has been a tremendous year for Duke, and although it is slightly below their typical standards, they still look to have a case to be a top seed in the NCAA tournament this season. They should also get some looks as a potential national championship winner as well heading into the NCAA tournament this year.
Duke comes into this game with 23 victories through their first 29 games of the season and they are closing in on a regular season championship in the ACC as well. The top four finish in the conference standings will also give them plenty of rest heading into the conference tournament. As they will receive a double bye and only need to win three games to raise the ACC conference tournament trophy. A victory in this game would set up a season ending showdown with North Carolina for the top spot in the ACC regular season standings.
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North Carolina State has an opportunity to get a huge résumé building victory and spoil Duke's chances to win the ACC regular season title. This will be the first time they’ve matched up with Duke this season and they will need to put their best foot forward and likely play their best game of the season if they want to keep their NCAA tournament hopes alive as well. They come into this game as winners of 17 out of their first 29 games of the season and a victory here in this one could position them in a better spot heading into the conference tournament and their final regular season game.
They have been rather lackluster in conference play sitting at .500 through their first 18 conference games of the season. However, they still have an opportunity to earn a bye in the ACC conference tournament if they can finish in the upper echelon of the standings. With two conference games remaining this season that seems rather unlikely unless they pull off the upset against Duke here on Monday night at home. North Carolina State had a rough go of things as of late as they come into this game on a two game losing streak. They will look to snap that losing streak with an upset win against Duke what is a must win game for the Wolfpack late in the regular season.
Betting trends to consider in this matchup:
- NC State is winless against the top 25 this season
- Duke is 23-4 as a favorite this season
- NC State is 0-1 as a home underdog
I don’t see this game being very close as I look for Duke to take over late and pull away from North Carolina State to pick up a convincing victory on Monday night. As I look for the Blue Devils to keep the momentum rolling after their blowout victory against Virginia on Saturday night and pick up the win here in this game as well as cover the spread in the process. This is a game I could easily see ending with a double digit victory for Duke led by a solid Kyle Filipowski scoring performance much like he had on Saturday evening as well against Virginia.
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