Colorado @ Boise State 3/20/24 Free Pick, NCAAB Odds, NCAAB Predictions

Colorado (24-10) at Boise State (22-10)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 20th, 2024 at  9:10 p.m. EST (UD Arena)

Betting Odds: Colorado -2.5 (-110) - Over/Under (140.5)

Pick: Colorado -2.5 (-110)

Wednesday night takes us to Dayton, Ohio for the second night of the first four as the final prelude into the opening round of the NCAA tournament. The opening night of the first four provided us with two quality games and the second night is sure to do the same here on Wednesday evening. As these two teams are fighting for one of the final bids to get into the final field of 64 and keep their national championship hopes alive.  As the Colorado Buffaloes open up their NCAA tournament run against the Boise State Broncos here in this one. Both of these teams are seeded as a 10 seed heading into the tournament, and the winner will face Florida in round one. 

Colorado put together a fantastic regular season and it was enough to get them an at large bid to the NCAA tournament in the process. They played in arguably the best conference and all of college basketball this season as the Pac 12 was absolutely loaded from top to bottom this year, and there were plenty of teams deserving of a bid. Although Colorado didn’t do enough to win the Pac 12 conference tournament they still earned their way into the NCAA tournament first four. It was arguably their deep run through the Pac 12 conference tournament, and their runner up finish that put them over the edge on the positive side of the bubble on selection Sunday. 

Now they will look to grab their first tournament victory of the year here on Wednesday night against Boise State. Colorado finished their season with 24 victories through their first 34 games of the year and they will look for their 25th victory of the season here on Wednesday night against the Broncos. Although Boise State is a mid-major, this certainly won’t be an easy task as the Mountain West was a formidable conference in its own right this season. This was a Colorado team that averaged around 80 points per game this season and they were led by KJ Simpson and his 16 points per game average and he will be the focal point for the Buffaloes throughout this game.

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Boise State put together a fantastic tournament and regular season run, and they got rewarded with an at-large bid to the NCAA tournament. They are one of several Mountain West teams to get bids to the NCAA tournament as the conference itself was one of the toughest in the country this season. They come to this game as winners of 22 out of 32 games on the season and now they will look to grab a victory in the opening round of the NCAA tournament. As they look to get themselves established in the field of 64 and meet Florida on Friday evening and start their tournament run. 

Although their run was stopped short in their opening game of the conference tournament they still did enough to earn an at-large bid to the NCAA tournament and now they will look to take advantage of that. As they look to pick up a victory over a tough Colorado team, and start their journey throughout the tournament on Friday and round one. Boise State has been a tough and resilient team all season long, and they certainly have the talent to get the job done against some of the bigger schools in the country as long as they can remain healthy and consistent throughout this run. This should be a game on Wednesday night in Dayton as Boise State looks to take down Colorado and advance to the opening round of the tournament.

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- Colorado is 22-6 as a favorite 

- Colorado is 9-2 outside of the Pac-12 

- Boise State is 6-5 as an underdog 

I expect this to be a competitive back-and-forth game here on Wednesday night, but in the end I look for Colorado to end Boise State’s run and pick up the victory in Dayton. I look for Colorado and their high flying offense led by KJ Simpson to get the job done here in this one against a tough Boise State team. As I look for the Buffaloes to not only pick up the victory in this game on Wednesday night, but I also expect them to cover the spread in the process. I could easily see if this game going down to the final few minutes, but in the end I look for KJ Simpson to take over and lead Colorado to a huge victory.

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