Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians 7/4/24 Free Pick, MLB Odds, MLB Predictions

Chicago White Sox (25-63) at Cleveland Guardians (53-31) 

Game Info: Thursday, July 4th, 2024 at  1:10 p.m. EST (Kauffman Stadium)

Betting Odds: Guardians -1.5 (-125) - Over/Under (9.5)

Pick: Guardians -1.5 (-125)

The Chicago White Sox and the Cleveland Guardians will play the third and final game of a four game series here on Thursday afternoon. This is already been a bit of a back-and-forth series throughout the first two games with both teams picking up a victory and both teams looking to clinch a series win here on Thursday to wrap up the series. Heading into the weekend on a high note will be important for both Cleveland and Chicago. This should be an exciting and competitive contest throughout the Fourth of July in Cleveland. This will also be the seventh meeting of the season between these two divisional arrivals and as of right now Chicago leads the series 4 to 2. 

Chicago has gotten the better of Cleveland throughout the regular season winning four out of the first six meetings, including the game on Wednesday night. They will follow up with a second consecutive victory over Cleveland and a second consecutive series victory over Cleveland as well. Despite being the worst team in baseball after a rough start to the regular season, they have still been able to beat up on the Guardians who have been one of the best teams in baseball coming into the month of July. With Gavin Williams making his first MLB start since his return from injury they were able to jump on him early and put themselves out to a respectable lead throughout the early innings of the game. 

That is something they will look to replicate throughout this game on Thursday as well as they look to grab a second consecutive win in the process. Jared Shuster gets the baseball for Chicago when he comes into this game with one victory and zero losses on his record. He will look to pick up his second victory of the season here on Thursday afternoon against Cleveland as he looks to continue the trend of shutting down their red hot offense throughout this game. Will also look to get the bats going once again, which has been something very rare for them this season, especially on the road so they certainly have to be enjoying the nice warm weather in Cleveland throughout the last couple of days. As they have been putting up plenty of runs throughout the course of this series.

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Cleveland will look to get back on track after another rough performance against an American League Central division team. Despite having one of the best records in all of baseball throughout the first few months of the season, they have struggled against their own division, losing nine out of 21 games. On the surface, it does not seem like much but when you consider the fact that five of those losses are to the Chicago White Sox team, then it gets a little bit embarrassing to admit. This has been the worst team so far this season, but Cleveland cannot figure out a way to get an advantage against them. That is certainly something Cleveland will need to figure out throughout the remainder of the season if they want to maintain one of the best records in baseball.

Gavin Williams made his MLB season debut on Wednesday night, but it did not go well as he was roughed up early in his return from injury. Ben Lively will get the ball here on Thursday afternoon for Cleveland and he is coming off of a rough start of his own last week against Kansas City. He will bounce back and put up a performance against the Chicago White Sox, as Cleveland looks to get a victory to finish off this series at home. They have been one of the best teams at home in baseball this season and they will look to maintain that narrative with a solid performance here in this one to wrap up this series.

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- Cleveland is 27-10 at home 

- Cleveland is 25-8 as a home favorite 

- Cleveland is 19-11 after a loss 

I expect Cleveland to come out of this series with a much-needed victory here on Thursday afternoon to head into the weekend on a high note. With the All-Star break quickly approaching, it will give a beat up and tired Cleveland team time to rest, but I think they will continue to build on their lead in the American League Central division throughout the early part of July and it starts with getting back into the win column with a solid performance against Chicago on Thursday. 

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