Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees 7/3/23 Free Pick, MLB Odds, MLB Predictions

Baltimore Orioles (49-33) at New York Yankees (46-38) 

Game Info: Monday, July 3, 2023 at 7:05 p.m. EST (Yankee Stadium)

Betting Odds: Orioles (-115) / Over/Under (8.5)

Pick: Orioles ML (-115)

As the new week dawns upon us, we get an enticing AL East matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, with both squads looking to close the gap between them and the first-place Tampa Bay Rays. 

Baltimore has been struggling over their last ten games, only going 4-6 over that stretch. Nonetheless, they were able to salvage their last game against the Minnesota Twins to avoid the sweep when they won by a score of 2-1. In that game, Felix Bautista was the man to shut it down in the ninth inning once again as he struck out the side to lower his ERA to a mere 1.16. In 38.2 innings pitched this campaign, he has an outstanding 79 strikeouts. This stellar play has put him in the All-Star game in a few weeks. Looking forward to today's game, they will have Tyler Wells on the bump. He has had his best season yet in 2023, as he currently boasts a 3.21 ERA. If the Orioles are to stay in the thick of things in the AL as the season progresses past the midpoint, Wells' play will have a large say in whether they can continue to prove the doubters wrong. 

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New York has played similarly to Baltimore over their last ten games, winning five and losing five over that stretch. With the Yankees still battling without Aaron Judge in the lineup, the fact that they are able to say that they are 46-38 at the moment is mightily impressive. Looking at the Wild Card standings, they still hold the last spot by 1.5 games above the Toronto Blue Jays. With the WC race to surely heat up as the season goes by, one man that the Yankees will rely on heavily to carry the offensive load is Giancarlo Stanton. He has been one of the biggest disappointments across the first eighty or so games but certainly has the capability to turn it around and hold it down until Judge is able to return. Can he catch fire in Monday's game against a division rival as the Yankees try and make their way into the division race?

Betting trends to consider in this matchup:

- Baltimore is 29-16 as the favorite

- The Orioles are 39-23 in league games

- New York is 11-15 in division games

The fact that the Orioles are slight favorites on the road against a pitcher that just threw a perfect game should tell you which side you want to be on in this game. With the current roster construction for both squads, the Orioles simply have the better roster and better starting pitcher on the mound for tonight's game. Because of this I will take the O's to steal game one in Yankee Stadium!

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